The US and European administrations prepared to establish a government in Ukraine in exile in Poland and switched aid to long-term guerrilla weapons, and it was diagnosed that Russia could afford economic sanctions.
European leaders have secretly prepared a government in exile in Poland in response to Putin's strategy of reducing Ukraine's "much smaller state" to maintain independence in western Ukraine and integrate it with Russia in the Donetsk and Luhansk region, or to declare an independent state, The Washington Post reports. reported the day.
“As we progress and extend over longer periods of time, what might start as a more centralized resistance often turns into smaller groups or units of resistance,” said Martha Kepe, a defense analyst with resistance movement researcher at the conservative US strategic group Landcortration. It's not a negative thing, but a small group allows more flexibility," he told the WP, revealing the application of guerrilla warfare.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in a video on the 5th that he had asked 300 U.S. Senators and Senators to “set up a no-fly zone in Ukrainian airspace, ban imports of Russian oil, and request additional military assistance such as aircraft, drones and air defense missiles,” Politico said. reported that day.
The WP said that the Ukrainian special warfare commander, who visited the United States in December last year, told Republican Congressman Michael Waltz that he was "frustrated by the lack of support for surface-to-air missiles aimed at Russian ships and Stinger missiles." The switch to Ukraine said support includes small arms ammunition and medical kits for combat with the Taliban.
The Biden administration earlier asked Congress to provide a $10 billion humanitarian aid and military package, including funds to supplement weapons already sent to the defense of Ukraine.
The WP article titled 'Ukrainian government in exile and long rebellion is quietly preparing for US and allies' Ukrainian government exile," said NATO leaders, saying that "if Russia occupies Kyiv, it will not end resistance or Ukrainian state existence." It warned that support for the Zelensky government in Poland could give the alliance an excuse to attack, as member states remain cautious of overly supporting the Ukraine insurrection to avoid direct conflict with Russia.
The WP further predicted that Ukrainian leaders and citizens were not likely to be deterred by NATO concerns, western intelligence officials said.
The IMF said in a statement after the board meeting on the 5th, "At a time when inflation pressure was already high, the crisis is having a negative impact on inflation and economic activity in many countries. In particular, the global price shock will be felt, and the proportion of food and fuel spending “The full sanctions imposed on Russia by the West and others will have a huge impact on the global economy and financial markets, and will have a significant impact on other countries,” he said.
The British 'Economist' said about Russia's economic sanctions, "If it withstands the short-term shock, Russia can handle long-term low growth or negative growth." Nicholas Mulder, a professor at Cornell University, announced the analysis on the 4th.
In a report on the 6th, US investment bank JP Morgan suggested that the first default is possible because the redemption date of the $700 million Russian government bond is on the 16th, and the final default estimate is April 15th with a 30-day grace period.
JP Morgan said on the same day that Russia has more foreign exchange reserves than debt at $640 billion, but most of its assets are frozen and there is a high possibility that it cannot be repaid. "It's a big obstacle to repayment," he said.
Moody's S&P Fitch, the third largest credit rating agency in the United States, downgraded Russia's credit rating to junk last week.
David Aracamia, the head of the Ukraine negotiating delegation, President Zelensky's party, told Fox News on the 5th that "NATO member states said they were not ready to discuss our membership in the next five to ten years." "Some models that do not join NATO." Through the discussion, various countries such as the United States, China, Britain, Germany, France, and other countries can directly endorse the issue, and we can discuss it extensively with Russia and other partners,” he said, heralding the withdrawal of NATO membership.