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Israel's military intelligence agency systematically ignores Hamas' Jericho Wall attack plan

김종찬안보 2023. 12. 3. 13:13
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Israel's military intelligence agency systematically ignores Hamas' Jericho Wall attack plan

Major Israeli media outlets continued to report that the Israeli military intelligence agency obtained and ‘ignored’ Hamas attack documents, and the New York Times continued to report on various investigations into ‘obtaining information’ and ‘actions to ignore’.
Just months before the Hamas attack, a veteran analyst with Israel's signals intelligence unit warned that Hamas would need to conduct intensive, all-day training similar to that laid out in the Jericho Wall operational documents, but a colonel in the Israeli army's Gaza division said the analyst Concerns were dismissed, the New York Times reported on the 30th of last month based on an analysis of encrypted emails obtained.
In an encrypted email from military intelligence agencies, the analyst said, "I completely refute that scenario is imaginary," and that Hamas' training was "completely consistent with the content of the Jericho Wall. It was a plan designed to start a war. It was just a village." “We are not attacking ,” the NYT confirmed and reported.
Israel’s public broadcaster ‘Khan’ reported on the 29th of last month that “Hamas’ plan to invade Israel was presented last year in a presentation submitted to the Director of Military Intelligence and the OC Southern Command.”
The ‘Walls of Jericho’ document takes the modern name for an ancient fortress in the West Bank.
The content was clear. It detailed “rocket attacks to distract Israeli soldiers and rush them into bunkers, and drone strikes to neutralize sophisticated security measures along the border wall dividing Israel and Gaza,” with Hamas fighters attacking 60 of the wall’s walls. They broke through the branch and rushed across the border into Israel.
The document began with a quote from the Islamic Qur'an: "Surprise them through the door. If you do so, you will surely be victorious."
Media that reported the Israeli military's failure to inform the Hamas attack include Israel's public broadcaster Khan, the private broadcaster Channel 12, and the daily newspaper Haaretz, and the New York Times' original report and investigation showed that intelligence authorities knew of Hamas's plans long beforehand and that analysts It confirmed it had raised the warning earlier this year.
The Israeli military obtained a copy of the battle plan Hamas ultimately used in its attack on Israel on October 7, but officers mistakenly believed that Hamas would not be able to execute it.
The Israeli commander also ignored warnings from his subordinates that previous Hamas units were training and increasing their capacity to execute their plans, the New York Times reported on the 2nd, based on work with Israeli media.
This week, as reports began to pour in surrounding the Israeli military's dismissal of Hamas's battle plans, the Israeli army's chief of staff, Lt. Gen. Herzi Halevi, promised a "fundamental and in-depth investigation."
Israeli military intelligence chief Aharon Haliba said in a statement released 10 days after the Hamas attack that he would take "full responsibility for the failure."
Centrist Minister Benny Gantz, who joined the war cabinet after the war began, said on the 2nd, “There will be time for criticism, and there will be time for investigation. “Now we have to fight and win,” he said, repeating his stance of “investigating later.”
“We have ample opportunity to give a full account of what happened on October 7, including looking back at what happened and who knew what and when,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken said at a briefing on the 1st. “Right now, our focus is on making sure we do everything possible to prevent something like this from happening again,” he said.
The roughly 40-page Hamas offensive operation document, code-named "Jericho Wall" by Israeli authorities, describes in detail each and every kind of destructive invasion, including the demolition of strongholds around the Gaza Strip and the destruction of Israeli cities, although it does not specify the date of the attack. The New York Times reported on the 30th of last month that it described an organized attack designed to occupy fields and attack major military bases, including division headquarters.
Regarding the 'Jericho Wall' document, the NYT said, "Hamas followed the blueprint with shocking accuracy," adding, "The document shows that they launched a barrage of rockets in the early stages of the attack, mobilized drones to neutralize security cameras and automatic machine guns along the border, and killed gunmen. “They described how they would pour into Israel in large numbers on paragliders, on motorcycles, and on foot,” he said.
The NYT continued, “The plan also included details about the location and size of the Israeli military, communications hubs and other sensitive information, raising questions about how Hamas collected the information and whether there were leaks inside Israeli security facilities.” "It was widely circulated among Israeli military and intelligence leaders, but experts determined that an attack of this scale and ambition was beyond Hamas' capabilities, the documents and officials said. Prime Minister Netanyahu and other senior political leaders “It is unclear whether he also saw this document,” he said.
Immediately after the 1973 Arab-Israeli War, in response to surprise attacks by Egypt and Syria to neutralize Israel's defenses, Israel's military intelligence established the "Devil's Advocate" department, which was tasked with challenging conventional wisdom within the intelligence community.
“The department clearly failed, it failed to properly assess the enemy, and there was a belief that Hamas had given up,” former military intelligence chief Tamir Hayman said in a panel discussion broadcast by the National Security Institute in Tel Aviv. said.
The Israeli military drafted a top-\secret memorandum in the Defense Secretary's office in 2016 based on much earlier iterations of Hamas' attack plans, and signed by then-Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman, saying the invasion and hostage-taking would have "serious consequences for the consciousness and morale of Israeli citizens." “It will cause damage,” it said.
The memo, obtained by the NYT, states that Hamas has purchased sophisticated weapons, GPS jammers and drones, and that Hamas has increased its fighting force, adding more over a six-year period and expressing hopes for future increases.
After the Israeli military obtained the Jericho Wall documents last year, Israel's Gaza division drafted its own intelligence assessment of this latest invasion plan.
Israeli military analysts wrote in an assessment report that Hamas "has decided to plan a new air strike of unprecedented scale," and the NYT said, "Hamas plans to launch a deception operation following a 'large-scale operation' to suppress the division." It was stated in this report.
“But the Israeli military in Gaza called the plan ‘Compass,’ and the division determined that Hamas knows where it wants to go but that he has not yet gotten there,” the NYT said.
“Dozens of Hamas commandos recently conducted training in the presence of senior Hamas commanders,” a veteran Israeli intelligence analyst said. “The training included shooting down Israeli aircraft and seizing kibbutzim and military training bases.” It included practice killing all the cadets, and during the training, Hamas fighters used the same phrase from the Koran that appeared at the top of the ‘Jericho Wall’ attack plan,” he wrote in an encrypted email correspondence.
The NYT said, “Intelligence analysts warned that the training closely followed the ‘Jericho Wall’ plan and that Hamas was building the capacity to carry it out,” and added, “A colonel in the Gaza division applauded this analysis, but “This exercise is part of a ‘completely imaginary’ scenario and does not demonstrate Hamas’ operational capabilities,” the colonel wrote in an email, adding, “In short, let’s wait patiently.”