IMF US Production Plunges, Recession 40%, Korea's Growth Rate Cut in Half The IMF has set the possibility of a recession at 40% due to a sharp decline in US production and has cut Korea's growth rate by half this year. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) annual report predicted that US production will slow from 2.8% last year to 1.8% this year and halved Korea's growth rate from 2.0% to 1.0% t..