North Korea's North Korea-China-US North Korea-Russia-Japan cross-strait strategy, National Intelligence Service misjudges Kim Joo-ae's successor
As North Korea cut off from South Korea, Kim Joo-ae appeared in the party's propaganda apparatus as an external psychological tactic to stabilize the North Korean regime in the cross-strait strategy of North and Central America on the West Sea and North Korea, Russia, and Japan on the East Sea, while the National Intelligence Service formalized its judgment of 'Kim Joo-ae successor', increasing the possibility of error.
The Korean Central News Agency reported on the 8th that Kim Jong-un was accompanied by Kim Ju-ae, Kim Yo-jong, Hyon Song-wol, and party secretary Ri Il-hwan during a field trip to the Gwangcheon Chicken Factory in Hwangju-gun, North Hwanghae Province the day before.
At the party plenary meeting at the end of last year, North Korea's State Affairs Commission Chairman Kim Jong-un defined North and South Korea not as compatriots but as hostile belligerents and ordered "reorganizing and reorganizing organizations in the inter-Korean affairs sector, including the United Front Department," saying, "Unification cannot be achieved at any time." Accordingly, the Voice of America (VOA) reported on the 4th that Foreign Minister Choi Son-hee held a meeting with executives in the department of relations with South Korea on the first day of the new year to discuss implementation plans.
On the 4th, the National Intelligence Service began distributing its judgment on ‘Kim Joo-ae’s successor’ to the media.
AP reported on the 4th, “South Korea’s main intelligence agency, the National Intelligence Service, said on the 4th that it views Kim Joo-ae as a likely successor to her father, citing a comprehensive analysis of her public activities and the state protocols provided to her.”
AP continued, “The National Intelligence Service’s public affairs office is still considering all possibilities regarding North Korea’s power succession process because Kim Jong-un is still young, has no major health problems, and has at least one other child.”
National Intelligence Service director candidate Cho Tae-yong has made an ‘evaluation of Kim Joo-ae’s successor,’ Rep. Yoon Geon-young told AP.
The New York Times reported on the 5th that North Korea fired 200 artillery shells into waters near the disputed West Sea border with South Korea, prompting the South Korean military to request evacuation of residents of two nearby islands.
White House NSC spokesman John Kirby said on the 4th that North Korea had provided ballistic missiles to Russia and that Moscow had begun firing them at targets in Ukraine and that North Korea was seeking various Russian military technologies in return.
NYT said, “North Korean missiles with a range of 550 miles were exported to Russia in violation of UN sanctions against North Korea, the White House revealed through recently declassified intelligence data,” adding that North Korea “is strengthening its own missile production with new supplies and North Korea’s nuclear and missile programs.” “Russia, which once cooperated with the United States in deterrence, now considers North Korea to support the development of a better delivery system,” he said, evaluating the North Korea-Russia military-industrial cooperation system.
Following Kim Jong-un's transition from being a belligerent country to South Korea, North Korea began an artillery war near the Dead Sea NLL, and at the same time, made North Korea-Japan negotiations public by using the extreme title of "Your Excellency" for the first time to Prime Minister Kishi in an "earthquake consolation message" to Japan.
Through 'blockade' with South Korea, North Korea established a consultative system in the West Sea among the countries that signed the armistice agreement between North Korea, China, and the United States, and in the East Sea, it established a North Korea-Russia military-industrial cooperation body and North Korea-Russia military-industrial cooperation in the relationship between Russia and Japan, parties to border dispute negotiations. -A triangular approach is being attempted to establish diplomatic relations between Japan and Japan, showing a typical ‘two-strait strategy.’
Regarding the National Intelligence Service's announcement of 'Kim Joo-ae's successor', AP cited related cases as 'North Korean leader Kim Jong-un takes his daughter to visit the military', 'North Korea reveals Kim Jong-un's daughter at a missile launch site', and 'Seoul prolongs family rule as Kim Jong-un's daughter is revealed' It was summarized as ‘suggestion’.
NYT reported on the 4th that “North Korea and Russia have been discussing expanding arms sales since Chairman Kim’s visit to Russia in September of last year,” and that “since then, North Korea has shipped hundreds of artillery containers to Russia.”
Regarding the National Intelligence Service's announcement, an article in the NYT on the 4th titled <Kim Jong-un's daughter is his likely successor, South Korea says> reads, "Kim Joo-ae is currently considered the most likely successor," the National Intelligence Service, Korea's main government intelligence agency, said to a member of the National Assembly on the 4th. It was reported that it was said in an evaluation published through .
On the other hand, the article said, "Many outside analysts had long speculated that one of Kim Jong-un's two older brothers would replace their father before North Korea announced Kim Jong-un as successor after Kim Jong-il suffered a stroke in 2008." “It is still too early to tell whether she will eventually develop the ruthless leadership qualities displayed by her father, establishing unchallenged authority through a series of bloody purges that included the execution of her uncle and the assassination of her half-brother.” Raised ‘questions’ about the National Intelligence Service’s evaluation.
Kim Joo-ae first became official in 2022 when state media reported she was seen watching a long-range missile test launch with her father, and has since accompanied Kim Jong-un to important state events such as military parades and taken center stage with her father in North Korean press photos.
In particular, North Korean state media often showed a father and daughter making affectionate gestures with their arms around each other, touching each other's faces, and a scene of Chairman Kim hugging his daughter and kissing her on the cheek at a New Year's Eve celebration held late at night at the end of last year was shown on North Korean TV. The video was widely reported and showed 'propaganda for stabilizing the regime'.
<North Korea and South Korea are ‘belligerents’ and the US ‘armistice negotiator’ beheading operation, US ‘separation’ from South Korea. See January 7, 2024>