Israel Iran-Biden Nuclear Deal Breakdown ‘Assassination’ Iran Nuclear ‘Short-term Production’
The assassination of Hamas leader Haniyeh by Israeli intelligence agents, which brought the greatest humiliation to Iran, is showing the possibility of Iran developing nuclear weapons, and Biden’s Democratic Party’s foreign policy failure is approaching ‘short-term production’.
The assassination of the Hamas leader in Tehran, which occurred at a time when the nuclear talks between the Biden administration and Iran were in the final stages, appears to be a breakdown of the ‘Democrat-Iran deal’ system.
US officials predicted that Iran would make a sharp turn from the possibility of overreaction to developing its own nuclear weapons.
The New York Times reported on the 31st that “the most dangerous action would be to cross the line from developing fuel for nuclear weapons to developing weapons themselves,” and that US Secretary of State Blinken said at the Aspen Security Forum on July 19 that “it would not take at least a year to develop a breakthrough capability to produce fissile material for nuclear weapons, but perhaps in one or two weeks.” At the same event, Sullivan told reporters, “I have never seen a decision by Iran to move in a way that would clearly signal that they are developing a weapon,” and “If they start going down that path, they are going to find themselves in real trouble with the United States.” Then came the assassination of a Hamas leader in the Iranian capital on the 31st, which appeared to be led by Israel.
Secretary Blinken said at the time, “We are not in a good place right now,” and both Secretary Blinken and Sullivan noted that “there has not yet been a political decision to move forward with building a bomb,” but noted that there was increasing talk among Iranian leaders about the possibility, the Times reported.
“The temptation for revenge is obvious. Assuming that the assassination of Haniyeh was orchestrated by Israeli intelligence (which they neither admitted nor denied), the attack was designed for more than just an attack on a senior Hamas leader,” the Times reported on the 31st. “It was a humiliation for the Iranian government, and it is the latest reminder of how deeply Israel has infiltrated Iran’s security apparatus.” The New York Times reported on June 21 that “while the world was reeling from the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, Iran had moved closer than ever to producing multiple nuclear weapons, dramatically increasing the rate at which it could produce nuclear fuel in a facility buried deep enough to be virtually impervious to bunker-busting bombs.” The Times also reported that “the cumulative impact of the surge, according to interviews with a dozen U.S., European, Iranian, Israeli officials and outside experts, suggests that Iran has solidified its role as a ‘threshold’ nuclear power while not quite reaching the weapons-building line.” Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Galland “raised the Iranian nuclear surge” in a series of meetings with U.S. Secretary of State Blinken, Defense Secretary Austin and CIA Director William J. Burns in June, people familiar with the talks told the Times. The Iran nuclear deal has been a key point of contention between the Biden and Trump camps and has become a point of contention in this election. In 2013, when the US reached a nuclear deal with Iran, Director Burns, who was a senior State Department official under President Obama, and Jake Sullivan, who was Vice President Biden’s national security adviser, were dispatched to Iran to negotiate with the newly elected Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.
Director Burns and Advisor Sullivan were again in the Iran nuclear negotiations, and the Trump administration immediately scrapped the Iran nuclear deal and reimposed sanctions on Iran after being elected in 2015.
President-elect Trump said at the time that he would bring down the Iranian regime with sanctions and predicted that Iran would beg for a new deal.
Trump’s prediction turned out to be wrong, but Israel stepped in and shook up the Biden administration’s negotiations with Iran.
The deal made by the Democratic Obama administration was centered around how to deal with Iran’s expanding capabilities, and it led to a six-month agreement with the European Union to curb Iran’s nuclear program in exchange for billions of dollars in sanctions relief, but Trump’s “reinstatement of sanctions” ended the deal. As a result of the Obama-Iran nuclear deal, about 97% of Iran's nuclear fuel was exported to Russia, and at the time, Russia, along with the US, the EU, the UK, France, Germany, and China, were collaborators with the US in preventing Iran from acquiring weapons.
At the time, the deal demanded that Iran maintain its main enrichment facility for nuclear power generation, and while refusing to dismantle the US and Europe's demands, the underground facility in Podou was left untouched and non-nuclear materials were kept in the same state. Then, under the Trump administration, the agreement was completely terminated, and the Natanz facility was secretly restored. Israel put the goal of 'nuclear destruction' on the international stage with this assassination aimed at the inauguration of the new president of the negotiation faction in Iran.
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu attempted to neutralize the 'diplomacy priority' of the Democratic Biden administration by restoring the hard-line conservative Trump sanctions and support the US presidential election with the crisis of war.
Under the Obama administration, Iran signed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with the US, UK, France, China, Russia, and Germany (P5+1) on July 14, 2015, but the Trump administration scrapped it in May 2018, and Biden was elected in 2022 with a promise to restore it.