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US ‘North Korea’s lethal military action’, Russia ‘Korea-US-Japan military bloc preparing for war’

김종찬안보 2024. 1. 26. 13:43
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US ‘North Korea’s lethal military action’, Russia ‘Korea-US-Japan military bloc preparing for war’

The United States and Russia began to directly accuse each other of ‘preparing for war’ on the Korean Peninsula.
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said at a UN press conference on the 25th that South Korea's rhetoric has suddenly "become more hostile toward North Korea" as the military bloc of Korea, the United States and Japan formed by the United States has intensified its military activities and conducted large-scale training, and that the United States, South Korea and Japan have become more hostile toward North Korea. He accused them of preparing for war.
Minister Lavrov said of South Korea, "It has suddenly become more hostile toward North Korea," and "I can hear aggressive rhetoric in Japan as well. We are seriously discussing ways to build NATO infrastructure with support from the United States."
U.S. officials told the New York Times on the 25th, “We do not sense the risk of an imminent all-out war on the Korean Peninsula,” and “Chairman Kim Jong-un may carry out an attack in a way that avoids a sudden escalation of tensions.”
Jonathan Finer, White House deputy national security adviser, said at the Asia Society Forum in Washington that North Korea "has chosen to continue down a very negative path," and U.S. officials who covered the story gave their views on the "war theory on the Korean Peninsula" to the NYT on condition of anonymity. stated in various ways.
“North Korea’s leader Kim Jong-un could take some form of lethal military action against South Korea in the coming months after shifting to a policy of open hostility,” U.S. officials told the NYT.
“Any leader who is planning a major military operation will stockpile missiles and artillery shells,” another U.S. official said. “North Korea’s decision to send large numbers of older artillery shells and fewer modern ballistic missiles to Russia for the war in Ukraine is a sign of Kim Jong-un’s actions.” “It shows that the chairman is not preparing for a long-term war with South Korea,” he said, giving a negative diagnosis across the board.
The NYT rather expressed the view that “missiles and artillery fire or a ground invasion of South Korea would almost certainly mean war with the United States.”
Regarding President Putin's visit to Pyongyang, Foreign Minister Lavrov said, "The timing will be decided by the Kremlin," and in response to Chairman Kim Jong-un's recent announcement that he would not unify with Korea, he said, "Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said that there will be no Palestinian state after the Israel-Hamas war." AP reported on the 26th that the comparison was made.
“It is terrible when there are trends that divide us instead of uniting us,” Lavrov said. “Nevertheless, this is a systematic process across many regions, and the main contributors to these trends are those who believe that they are the masters of the universe.”
He continued, “The BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) economic bloc is leaving the West behind, and BRICS member countries have invited Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, Ethiopia, etc.” He continued, “The colonial powers of the past are the reality of today’s world.” “We must face this. We should not think that we are that strong just because we have the dollar,” he said of the economic bloc confrontation.
U.S. officials told the NYT, “The North Korean leader appears to feel emboldened by the strengthening partnership with Russia,” adding, “China’s influence on North Korea has its limits and Chairman Kim Jong-un’s move to build closer ties with Russian President Putin “The influence may be weakened,” he said.
“North Korea’s statements and policy changes are part of a broader strategy to destabilize and create instability,” said Gene H. Lee, a researcher at the East-West Center for the United States. “Kim Jong-un may take military action in areas such as the West Sea and the Yellow Sea.” “I think,” he told NYT.
NYT said, “Chairman Kim Jong-un probably believes he can control any escalation,” U.S. officials said. “When North Korea shelled Yeonpyeong Island in 2010, the South Korean military retaliated, but the North and South quickly stopped exchanging artillery fire and early that year. “A Korean warship sank off the west coast, killing 46 sailors.”
NYT continued, “According to an investigation by international experts, it was revealed several months later that the warship was hit by a torpedo launched by a North Korean submarine. South Korea imposed sanctions on North Korea, which denied any role in the incident but did not launch a military attack. “In the naval battles of 1999 and 2002, North and South Korea were careful not to escalate into an all-out war by maintaining proportionality in their interactions,” he said.
NYT said, “Officials added that they did not sense the risk of an imminent all-out war on the Korean Peninsula, but said Chairman Kim Jong-un may launch an attack in a way that avoids a sudden escalation of tensions,” adding, “They cited North Korea’s shelling of South Korean islands in 2010 as an example. “The two sides exchanged artillery fire, which reportedly resulted in the deaths of soldiers from both sides and southern civilians, but the two armies soon stopped,” he said.
Minister of National Defense Shin Won-sik said at the 17th Fighter Wing of the Air Force in Cheongju on the 24th, "North Korea regards the Republic of Korea as its main enemy and has continued to maintain a strategy of turning the entire Korean Peninsula into a communist country. If the Kim Jong-un regime starts a war, the worst option is “If you do this, you must become the ‘invisible force that protects the Republic of Korea’ and become a leader who eliminates the enemy leadership within the shortest possible time and announces the end of the regime,” he said.