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Israel Ukraine US Presidential Election Betting Ends Gaza ‘Temporary Ceasefire’

김종찬안보 2024. 10. 28. 14:12
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Israel Ukraine US Presidential Election Betting Ends Gaza ‘Temporary Ceasefire’

Israel and Ukraine entered into a ‘Temporary Ceasefire in Gaza’ and each eased their attacks, overcoming the ‘pro-Trump offensive’ October Surprise in the US presidential election betting.
Israeli fighter jets took off on the night of the 25th, the same day US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Washington, and bombed Tehran’s air defense network and Iran’s missile fleet’s fuel mixer that makes propellants.

Contrary to his announcement of ‘North Korean military deployment on the 26th and 27th,’ Ukrainian President Zelensky announced on the 27th that he would ‘accept China’s proposed peace plan’ through his chief of staff, and on the 27th, he ruled out the original ‘NATO membership’ by saying ‘a security system with the six Nordic countries.’

In his speech on the 27th, President Zelensky said, “Next week, we will talk about ‘Nordic (Norway)’ and new fundamental measures that can increase pressure on Russia for this war and honest diplomacy,” and retreated from ‘NATO membership’, which was the cause of the war and the root of the failure of the ceasefire, while switching to ‘Ukraine plus Nordic’, a limited security cooperation system with the ‘six Nordic countries’.

At a press conference in Cairo on the 27th, Egyptian President al-Sisi announced ‘a temporary ceasefire for two days to exchange four hostages’ and ‘resumption of talks within 10 days after the temporary ceasefire as part of efforts to reach a permanent ceasefire. ’

At the press conference that day, he made this announcement with the participation of the directors of the US CIA and Israel’s Mossad intelligence agency, standing alongside Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune, showing the success of the ‘temporary ceasefire’ just before the US presidential election.

Among the five Nordic countries bordering Russia, Finland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Iceland, Sweden and Finland joined NATO earlier this year, and Finland and Norway share a border with Russia, so their security system is similar to Ukraine's.

In a joint statement on December 12 last year, the five Nordic countries said that Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, and Iceland had provided about 11 billion euros worth of aid to Ukraine since the Russian invasion in February 2022 and were prepared to continue providing extensive military, economic, and humanitarian support.
At the time, President Zelensky, who was restricted from providing aid by the United States, attended the statement, and the statement said that "the Nordic countries will stand with Ukraine for as long as it takes," and that "Russia must stop its aggression and immediately and unconditionally withdraw its troops from Ukrainian territory within its internationally recognized borders," excluding 'joining NATO' and 'maintaining borders.'
Russia announced that "NATO's expansion in the Ukraine war is a dangerous historical mistake that will force Moscow to take countermeasures."

President Zelensky said in May that joint military aid from the Nordic countries would reach 6 billion euros this year under a separate security agreement.
Reuters reported on the 27th that “the five Nordic countries have provided Ukraine with about 11 billion euros by the end of 2023, and Zelensky added ‘6 billion euros’ in May.”

Russian President Putin said on the 27th that “the Russian Defense Ministry is studying various ways to respond if the United States and NATO allies help Ukraine strike deep into Russia with long-range Western missiles,” and previously said in a speech on state television on September 12th that “approving such measures would mean direct intervention by NATO countries, the United States, and European countries in the war in Ukraine.”
Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu said, “The air force has struck all of Iran. We have dealt a major blow to Iran’s defense capabilities and its ability to produce missiles aimed at us,” adding, “They are accurate and powerful. All objectives have been achieved,” he said in a speech on the 26th.
Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei said that “Israel’s calculations must stop,” adding that “the attack on Iran that killed four soldiers and caused some damage should not be trivialized or exaggerated,” Iran’s state-run IRNA news agency reported on the 26th.
Iranian President Masoud Fezeshkian said Iran does not want war but will respond “appropriately,” Reuters reported.
“If Iran chooses to respond, we are ready to defend Israel and support Israel. If Iran makes such an unfortunate decision, there will be consequences,” a senior Biden administration official told Reuters on the 26th. “But in our view, this direct engagement should end here.” In an interview on the 27th, President Zelensky’s Chief of Staff Yermak stated, “We are willing to integrate the ‘6-point common understanding’ negotiation plan, including the ban on expansion of the battlefield and provocations proposed by China and Brazil, into Ukraine’s ‘peace formula,’” and “We will maintain the presidency without elections until the end of the war.”

President Zelensky’s ‘peace plan’ rejected China’s ‘6-point common understanding’ in September as “destructive,” and demanded ‘NATO membership’ and ‘Western support for long-range missiles,’ but European countries refused, and the meeting itself fell through. In the second round of peace negotiations scheduled for November, President Zelensky used the ‘competition’ of the US presidential election to spread intelligence about ‘North Korean military participation,’ and immediately after the US presidential election, an attempt was made to ‘withdraw NATO membership’ at the second meeting.

“Iran’s leaders stressed Sunday that they had the right to respond to Israeli airstrikes a day earlier, but appeared to take a cautious tone after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the strikes had achieved their objectives,” the New York Times reported on the 27th. “Their comments came as Israeli and American negotiators headed to Qatar to resume long-stalled talks to broker a ceasefire in Gaza, which came after Israel launched more deadly attacks in northern Gaza and southern Lebanon,” the New York Times reported on the 27th.

Iranian and Israeli officials told the New York Times that the strikes “destroyed air defense systems protecting critical energy facilities but did not hit the facilities themselves,” and that “the Biden administration had urged Israel not to attack Iran’s oil and nuclear facilities.”
Iranian officials told the Times that Iran had “emphasized its right to respond,” but Iranian President Masoud Fezeshkian said late on the 26th that “any foolishness will be met with wisdom and strategy.” The New York Times said in its analysis on the 27th, “Iran’s leaders could make a different choice,” and “whether openly or secretly, they could overturn the leader Ayatollah’s apparent ban on nuclear weapons development,” foreshadowing a change in Iran’s strategy after the presidential election.

While most American media outlets reported on the “Harris lead” within the margin of error in the last opinion poll this month for the November 5 election, Korean media outlets focused on “Trump overtaking.”

OhmyNews, in its article “America is already preparing for Trump’s return… Is Korea the first target of pressure?” from New York on the 28th, highlighted the Heritage Foundation’s “Project 2025,” which the Trump camp had defined as far-right and scrapped, as a strategy of “expanding civil servant layoffs” and “bureaucratic dictatorship.”

The Heritage Foundation, which is in collusion with the Yoon Seok-yeol regime and the hard-line conservative regime, was initially expected to have Trump's chief of staff as its chairman in the Republican strategy, and Korea cooperated with this, but was pushed out by criticism from the US of 'administrative unilateralism' and the 'far right', and 'Project 2025' disappeared from the US media and was revived only in Korea.