Hamas Celebrates ‘Success’ of 15-Month Bombardment, ‘Replenishing Forces’
Hamas is alive and well despite 15 months of Israeli bombardment, and is celebrating the ‘success’ of the Qatar-brokered ceasefire agreement.
The New York Times reported on the 16th that Hamas in the Gaza Strip, despite being isolated by 15 months of Israeli bombardment, still remains the dominant Palestinian force in the Gaza Strip, controlling refugee camps and refusing to surrender, and the public has not rejected it.
Many Palestinians criticized the group’s decision to launch an attack in October 2023, but Hamas has faced relatively little public unrest in Palestine despite the war that has killed tens of thousands of Gazans and left cities in ruins, the NYT reported.
Hamas celebrated the tentative ceasefire agreement announced on the 15th as an ‘success’, and related photos were reported one after another in foreign media.
“Hamas will be present in every detail of Gaza,” Ibrahim Madhoon, a Hamas analyst in Turkey, told the Times, adding that “trying to bypass Hamas is like burying your head in the sand.”
Madhoon acknowledged that Hamas’s military wing, the Qassam Brigades, had suffered losses, but said it was still “on solid ground” and had “recruited new fighters to replace those who died.”
The Times reported that U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said U.S. officials estimated that Hamas had recruited as many new fighters as it had lost in the war.
“Hamas got a lot out of this deal,” said Michael Milstein, a former military intelligence analyst who specializes in Palestinian affairs. “They got two things written into the agreement that they had been demanding all along: an end to the fighting and an Israeli withdrawal.”
He said that if “Hamas rearms and Israel responds by resuming the conflict, it will be a war of attrition with no light at the end of the tunnel,” and that “Hamas is prepared to drag Israel back into the Gaza mud.”
Under this scenario, Israel could move toward occupying Gaza, which would “block Hamas but antagonize everyone else in the population,” Tamer Karmut, a professor of public policy at Doha University, told the Times.
“I think everyone, including Hamas, understands that Hamas has to step back from the front lines to solve the people’s problems,” Karmut said. “They have to come to an agreement to share power with an internationally recognized Palestinian Authority.”
The Times reported that “Hamas supporters acknowledged that the October 2023 attack inflicted enormous suffering on Palestinians, but did not express regret for the attack that killed 1,200 people, mostly civilians,” and “they emphasized how Israel’s bombing of Gaza had revived global attention on the Palestinian issue and tarnished Israel’s reputation.”
Saudi Arabia, which had been close to establishing diplomatic relations with Israel since before the war, had previously proposed “statehood for Palestine” as a precondition for negotiations.
Some former Israeli security officials told the Times that the agreement “puts Hamas on a stable footing whether Israel returns to war or not.”
“Before the war, no one was tracking what was happening in Palestine,” Fuad Koufash, a Hamas analyst based in the Israeli-occupied West Bank, told the Times. “Now everyone is watching.”
Hamas' top negotiator, Khalil al-Haya, called the October offensive a "military achievement" in a speech on Tuesday and said it would remain "a source of pride for our people."
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