Step-by-step exchange of ‘Israeli hostages and new Palestinian government’ through Egyptian mediation
As Israel's diagnosis that the destruction of Hamas is impossible to achieve continues, regional power Egypt proposed a mediation plan for 'governing the Gaza Strip and the West Bank under a new government by a group of Palestinian experts', and some foreign media outlets diagnosed this mediation plan as achievable.
Egypt's mediation plan proposed a step-by-step process for the 'phased release of hostages' and the 'formation of a government of Palestinian experts' in exchange for 'joint management' of the Gaza Strip and the Israeli-occupied West Bank.
AP said the Egyptian mediation plan was confirmed by a senior Egyptian official and a European diplomat familiar with the proposal. “Israel and Hamas have not given a warm public welcome to Egypt’s proposal to end their bitter war, but their longtime enemies have completely rejected the plan.” “By not rejecting it, we raised the possibility of new diplomacy to stop Israel’s destructive attacks in the Gaza Strip,” he said on the 27th.
“In discussions on this proposal, details were negotiated with Qatar and submitted to mediators Israel, Hamas, the United States and European governments,” an Egyptian official told the AP.
The core of the mediation plan is the failure of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu's pledge to 'destroy Hamas', and on the 27th, the New York Times published an article analyzing 'Hamas is impossible to destroy' and 'War Minister Says Israel Can Open New Front Against Hezbollah on Northern Border' They warned us that there was a separate article on Israel’s ‘escalation of war.’
AP did not officially respond to the mediation plan, saying, “It is unclear whether Hamas will agree to it because it is giving up 16 years of power.” Izzat Rishq, a senior Hamas official stationed in Qatar, said in a statement, “We will not negotiate without completely ending the invasion.” “We will not agree to a temporary or partial ceasefire for a short period of time,” he said.
A NYT article titled “Scepticism Growing About Israel’s Ability to Dismantle Hamas” states, “Israel has repeatedly pledged to eliminate the group responsible for the brutal attack on October 7, but critics increasingly see that goal as unrealistic or even impossible. “He said.
NYT said, “The Israeli military recently distributed leaflets offering millions of dollars in cash in exchange for information leading to the arrest of four Hamas leaders in the Gaza Strip,” and “The large bounty is another sign that Israel is struggling to remove Hamas leaders.” It looks like The group's highest-ranking members are believed to be taking refuge in deep tunnels along with most of the combatants and the remaining hostages. The Israeli military said it had also demolished at least 1,500 mine shafts, but experts believe the underground infrastructure was largely intact. “Experts say that at best Israel will be able to contain Hamas,” the report said.
Azzam Tamimi, a Palestinian journalist and Muslim Brotherhood member who writes about Hamas, said, "The top leadership can disappear at any time, be killed, arrested or exiled, and in preparation for this, we have developed a mechanism for easy transfer of command." “The Kassam Brigade was divided into several units, creating a system where smaller units defend each area,” he told the NYT.
Elliott Chapman, a Middle East analyst at Jaynes (defense analysis company), said, “To completely eliminate Hamas, we need to fight from street to street and from house to house, but Israel lacks the time and manpower,” adding, “The weaknesses revealed by the United States in its suppression of Al Qaeda and the Taliban. As soon as the armed pressure is lifted, the organizations pop up again. “From the beginning, we compared the Battle of Gaza with the operation to seize Mosul, Iraq, from the Islamic State (IS) 10 years ago, but we missed an important difference,” he told the NYT.
The NYT compared Hamas to 'Gaza Strip and organic reproduction' and said, "Hamas arose from repeated frustration with the faction of mainstream Palestinians who had abandoned the armed struggle against Israeli occupation, refused to recognize Israel, and committed to the destruction of Israel in accordance with the founding charter. He said, “As a result of a survey by the Palestine Policy Research Center, Hamas’s approval rating rose from 38% before the war to 42% after the war.”
“The right way is to downgrade an organization to the point where it is no longer a sustainable threat,” said Mark Polymeropoulos, a former Middle East counterterrorism expert at the CIA. “You can’t have a strategy of killing everyone. You have to have a scenario for the next day.” “I do,” he told NYT.
Israel pledged to destroy Hamas in the war in the Gaza Strip, but Hamas still has branches and official offices in the West Bank, Lebanon, Turkey, and Qatar.
Qatar, which was the initial mediator, took advantage of its power and Egypt, a powerful country in the region, stepped forward and the mediation plan is now being accepted as realistic.
The key to the Egyptian mediation plan is an initial cease-fire in which Hamas releases 40-50 hostages, including women, patients, and the elderly, in exchange for the release of 120-150 Palestinian prisoners from Israeli prisons, while continuing negotiations to extend the cease-fire and release additional hostages and bodies. am.
The mediators, Egypt and Qatar, simultaneously attempt to reach an agreement on the "establishment of an expert government" in cooperation with all Palestinian factions, including Hamas and its internationally recognized rival, the Palestinian Authority (PA).
The Egyptian mediation plan envisaged that ‘an expert government would rule the Gaza Strip and the West Bank during a transition period while Palestinian factions worked to hold presidential and parliamentary elections.’
An Egyptian official said, “Israel and Hamas will attempt a comprehensive ‘all-round’ negotiation,” adding, “This includes the release of all Palestinian prisoners remaining in Israel, withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip, and a halt to rocket attacks by Palestinian militants against Israel.” It works,” he told AP.
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said in a statement on the 27th, “Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is no different from Adolf Hitler,” compared Israel’s attack on the Gaza Strip to the Nazi massacre of Jews, and added, “His leaders must be tried in an international court.” revealed.
Israel's Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said on the 26th, "We are fighting a war on multiple fronts and are being attacked in seven regions, including the Gaza Strip, Lebanon, Syria, Judea and Samaria (West Bank of the Jordan River), Iraq, Yemen, and Iran." “We have already responded and taken action in six of these,” he told lawmakers.
Reuters responded to Minister Gallant’s remarks by saying, “Israeli forces retaliated against attacks in Lebanon and Syria and carried out airstrikes against Palestinian militants in the occupied West Bank,” adding, “Iran-linked Houthi rebels launched long-range missiles and drones into Israel. “The defense minister did not disclose such actions regarding the attack on ships in the Red Sea or Iraq, where pro-Iranian militias last week announced drone launches against the southern Israeli port city of Eilat,” the moderate classification response confirmed.
Reuters diagnosed that the expansion of the front line was limited, saying, “Israel has not disclosed any operations against Iran, its archenemy and sponsor of Hamas and Lebanon’s Hezbollah.”